Hypertension Risk

Description

Hypertension Risk is the percentage likelihood that the user has hypertension (as diagnosed by a physician).

It corresponds to the percentage of people with the user’s risk profile who report that they have been diagnosed with hypertension (irrespective of their current blood pressure reading).

Individuals with elevated hypertension risk might consider having their blood pressure monitored by a medical professional to determine if they meet the diagnostic criteria for hypertension.

Participants

23,406 adults (18+ years of age) recruited at a hospital health clinic in China.

Additional Data Collection

Subjects were also asked whether they have been diagnosed with hypertension.

Modeling Approach

Blood flow signal was extracted and processed from facial video, and then blood flow features were extracted from blood flow signal.

Feature selection was carried out on blood flow and demographic features to identify features predictive of hypertension status. A machine-learning based classifier was then created to predict an individual’s hypertension status based on those features.

The model was created/trained using 19,382 subjects. The distribution of sex and hypertension status in this group is summarized in Table 1.

Subjects in videos	Composition
Sex distribution	49.6 % Male; 50.4 % Female
Hypertension distribution	20 % Hypertensive

Table 1: Hypertension distribution of training set

Model Performance

The Hypertension Risk model was then validated for accuracy on an independent portion of the dataset (n=2,012) that was not used in training - validation set. Then the final accuracy was obtained on an independent portion of the dataset (n=2,012) that was not used in training - test set. The distribution of sex and hypertension status in these groups is summarized in Table 2.

Subjects in videos	Composition in Validation	Composition in Test
Sex distribution	49.8% Male; 50.2 % Female	48.5 Male; 51.5 % Female
Hypertension distribution	20 % Hypertensive	20 % Hypertensive

Table 2: Hypertension distribution of validation and test sets

The accuracy on the test set calculated as area under the curve was 88.9% as shown in Figure 2.

Figure 2: AUC of hypertension risk prediction

Predictions are displayed to the user as a percentage likelihood of having hypertension. A percentage of 45% or more suggests a risk of hypertension, while 55% or more suggests high risk of hypertension.